Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from a January 2026 military operation that removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to custody in New York. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn pending a June 2027 trial date. Recent pretrial filings include a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, alongside ongoing disputes over legal fees and the legality of the capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict, contribute to trader positioning around the possibility of no conviction or sentence, while the potential for lengthy terms if convicted on the core counts supports the secondary probabilities for extended prison time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於無需服刑 44%
60+ 27%
20–40 14.4%
40–60 10.2%
$714,602 交易量
$714,602 交易量
2027-12-30
無需服刑
44%
少於20年
6%
20–40
14%
40–60
10%
60+
27%
無需服刑 44%
60+ 27%
20–40 14.4%
40–60 10.2%
$714,602 交易量
$714,602 交易量
2027-12-30
無需服刑
$438,886 交易量
44%
少於20年
$107,022 交易量
6%
20–40
$56,724 交易量
14%
40–60
$24,518 交易量
10%
60+
$87,453 交易量
27%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from a January 2026 military operation that removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to custody in New York. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn pending a June 2027 trial date. Recent pretrial filings include a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, alongside ongoing disputes over legal fees and the legality of the capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict, contribute to trader positioning around the possibility of no conviction or sentence, while the potential for lengthy terms if convicted on the core counts supports the secondary probabilities for extended prison time.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$714,602結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETVenezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from a January 2026 military operation that removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to custody in New York. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn pending a June 2027 trial date. Recent pretrial filings include a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, alongside ongoing disputes over legal fees and the legality of the capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict, contribute to trader positioning around the possibility of no conviction or sentence, while the potential for lengthy terms if convicted on the core counts supports the secondary probabilities for extended prison time.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$714,602結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETNicolás Maduro faces US federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from a January 2026 military operation that removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to custody in New York. He and his wife have pleaded not guilty and remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn pending a June 2027 trial date. Recent pretrial filings include a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, alongside ongoing disputes over legal fees and the legality of the capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict, contribute to trader positioning around the possibility of no conviction or sentence, while the potential for lengthy terms if convicted on the core counts supports the secondary probabilities for extended prison time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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