Recent northerly wind shifts and persistent cloud cover with light rain have driven Tokyo's minimum temperatures into the 19–21°C range over the past several days, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency observations and multi-model consensus for September 12. This pattern reflects seasonal transition influences, including residual summer moisture and variable steering flows, rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks or heat domes. Short-range forecasts show limited model spread, with overnight radiative cooling tempered by humidity and cloud cover, making sub-17°C readings or minima above 25°C statistically unlikely without rapid synoptic changes. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty and historical September variability against these stable signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日東京的最低溫度？
9月12日東京的最低溫度？
20°C 41%
21°C 25%
19°C 22%
18°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
41%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C或以上
15%
20°C 41%
21°C 25%
19°C 22%
18°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
20%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$125 交易量
41%
21°C
$53 交易量
25%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
16%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts and persistent cloud cover with light rain have driven Tokyo's minimum temperatures into the 19–21°C range over the past several days, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency observations and multi-model consensus for September 12. This pattern reflects seasonal transition influences, including residual summer moisture and variable steering flows, rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks or heat domes. Short-range forecasts show limited model spread, with overnight radiative cooling tempered by humidity and cloud cover, making sub-17°C readings or minima above 25°C statistically unlikely without rapid synoptic changes. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty and historical September variability against these stable signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts and persistent cloud cover with light rain have driven Tokyo's minimum temperatures into the 19–21°C range over the past several days, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency observations and multi-model consensus for September 12. This pattern reflects seasonal transition influences, including residual summer moisture and variable steering flows, rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks or heat domes. Short-range forecasts show limited model spread, with overnight radiative cooling tempered by humidity and cloud cover, making sub-17°C readings or minima above 25°C statistically unlikely without rapid synoptic changes. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty and historical September variability against these stable signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent northerly wind shifts and persistent cloud cover with light rain have driven Tokyo's minimum temperatures into the 19–21°C range over the past several days, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency observations and multi-model consensus for September 12. This pattern reflects seasonal transition influences, including residual summer moisture and variable steering flows, rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks or heat domes. Short-range forecasts show limited model spread, with overnight radiative cooling tempered by humidity and cloud cover, making sub-17°C readings or minima above 25°C statistically unlikely without rapid synoptic changes. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty and historical September variability against these stable signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions