Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
17°C 49%
12°C或以下 41%
18°C 35%
14°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
41%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
49%
18°C
35%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C或以上
7%
17°C 49%
12°C或以下 41%
18°C 35%
14°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
41%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
29%
15°C
$158 交易量
24%
16°C
$157 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
35%
19°C
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$315結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$315結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions