**Trader consensus on the London minimum temperature for August 13 centers on 19–20 °C** because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a hot, largely clear day with overnight lows in that narrow band. High pressure is expected to dominate, producing sunny conditions and daytime maxima near 35 °C while allowing relatively efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble outputs and recent Met Office updates place the most probable minimum around 19–20 °C, with the slight edge to 19 °C reflecting minor differences in how models handle boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 18 °C or below arise from the risk of slightly greater cooling if skies remain completely clear and winds stay calm, while 21 °C or higher would require more cloud or stronger mixing than currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, fresh model runs and any last adjustments to the overnight wind or humidity fields remain the key variables that could shift the final observed minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
18°C 15%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
15%
19°C
36%
20°C
33%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
18°C 15%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
14°C or below
$24 交易量
1%
15°C
$31 交易量
3%
16°C
$58 交易量
3%
17°C
$167 交易量
12%
18°C
$292 交易量
15%
19°C
$220 交易量
36%
20°C
$1,402 交易量
33%
21°C
$210 交易量
8%
22°C
$84 交易量
3%
23°C
$140 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$36 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the London minimum temperature for August 13 centers on 19–20 °C** because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a hot, largely clear day with overnight lows in that narrow band. High pressure is expected to dominate, producing sunny conditions and daytime maxima near 35 °C while allowing relatively efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds.
Ensemble outputs and recent Met Office updates place the most probable minimum around 19–20 °C, with the slight edge to 19 °C reflecting minor differences in how models handle boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 18 °C or below arise from the risk of slightly greater cooling if skies remain completely clear and winds stay calm, while 21 °C or higher would require more cloud or stronger mixing than currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, fresh model runs and any last adjustments to the overnight wind or humidity fields remain the key variables that could shift the final observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,664結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the London minimum temperature for August 13 centers on 19–20 °C** because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a hot, largely clear day with overnight lows in that narrow band. High pressure is expected to dominate, producing sunny conditions and daytime maxima near 35 °C while allowing relatively efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds.
Ensemble outputs and recent Met Office updates place the most probable minimum around 19–20 °C, with the slight edge to 19 °C reflecting minor differences in how models handle boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 18 °C or below arise from the risk of slightly greater cooling if skies remain completely clear and winds stay calm, while 21 °C or higher would require more cloud or stronger mixing than currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, fresh model runs and any last adjustments to the overnight wind or humidity fields remain the key variables that could shift the final observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,664結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus on the London minimum temperature for August 13 centers on 19–20 °C** because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a hot, largely clear day with overnight lows in that narrow band. High pressure is expected to dominate, producing sunny conditions and daytime maxima near 35 °C while allowing relatively efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble outputs and recent Met Office updates place the most probable minimum around 19–20 °C, with the slight edge to 19 °C reflecting minor differences in how models handle boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 18 °C or below arise from the risk of slightly greater cooling if skies remain completely clear and winds stay calm, while 21 °C or higher would require more cloud or stronger mixing than currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, fresh model runs and any last adjustments to the overnight wind or humidity fields remain the key variables that could shift the final observed minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions