Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned stations and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 24, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26–28°C. Persistent southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea, elevated monsoon humidity above 80%, and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent observations show minima of 26.6°C on August 22 with no major synoptic shifts expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around these values while leaving modest room for 28°C if clearer skies develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
29°C 33%
31°C或更高 31%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
12%
31°C或更高
31%
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
29°C 33%
31°C或更高 31%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
12%
31°C或更高
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned stations and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 24, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26–28°C. Persistent southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea, elevated monsoon humidity above 80%, and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent observations show minima of 26.6°C on August 22 with no major synoptic shifts expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around these values while leaving modest room for 28°C if clearer skies develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions