Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
8月23日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 交易量
$1,647 交易量
2026-08-23
16°C or below
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 交易量
$1,647 交易量
2026-08-23
16°C or below
$200 交易量
1%
17°C
$91 交易量
14%
18°C
$50 交易量
1%
19°C
$6 交易量
19%
20°C
$5 交易量
20%
21°C
$91 交易量
61%
22°C
$257 交易量
<1%
23°C
$215 交易量
1%
24°C
$236 交易量
<1%
25°C
$313 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,647結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,647結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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