Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
11°C 37%
8°C或以下 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 19%
8°C或以下
34%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
1%
11°C 37%
8°C或以下 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 19%
8°C或以下
34%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions