**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence. August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日臺北氣溫最高？
8月13日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 49%
37°C 24%
35°C 19%
38°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
49%
37°C
24%
38°C
5%
39°C或以上
1%
36°C 49%
37°C 24%
35°C 19%
38°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
$582 交易量
<1%
30°C
$708 交易量
<1%
31°C
$341 交易量
<1%
32°C
$404 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,581 交易量
1%
34°C
$230 交易量
4%
35°C
$791 交易量
19%
36°C
$1,467 交易量
49%
37°C
$859 交易量
24%
38°C
$629 交易量
5%
39°C或以上
$1,384 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence.
August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$8,975結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence.
August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,975結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence. August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions