Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Milan on August 24, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection across the Po Valley under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where daily highs average 28–30°C amid moderate humidity and light easterly winds, following a recent peak of 31°C on August 17. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minor variability tied to cloud cover or localized convection potentially trimming the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29°C as the outcome, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic patterns and official observational thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日米蘭的最高溫度?
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
27°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
27°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Milan on August 24, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection across the Po Valley under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where daily highs average 28–30°C amid moderate humidity and light easterly winds, following a recent peak of 31°C on August 17. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minor variability tied to cloud cover or localized convection potentially trimming the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29°C as the outcome, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic patterns and official observational thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions