**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月23日丹佛的最高溫度？
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$12,060 交易量
$12,060 交易量
2026-08-23
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
1%
華氏98度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$12,060 交易量
$12,060 交易量
2026-08-23
79°F或以下
$563 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$869 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,273 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$913 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$680 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$835 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$844 交易量
28%
92-93°F
$2,727 交易量
57%
94-95°F
$950 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$930 交易量
1%
華氏98度或更高
$1,476 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share.
Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s.
Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$12,060結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share.
Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s.
Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,060結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions