**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a high in the mid-90s on September 6, driven by southerly flow, dew points near 74–76°F, and ample boundary-layer moisture that supports heat indices above 105°F.** Afternoon convection—isolated thunderstorms with 30–50% coverage—introduces the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could shave several degrees off the peak through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while delayed or limited activity would allow readings to reach 96–97°F. Historical September 6 averages near 93°F and recent September highs in the upper 90s to low 100s frame the setup, with traders weighting the narrow 94–97°F bins most heavily due to the narrow spread between model solutions and the timing of any convective initiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月6日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 16%
98-99°F 13%
$23,161 交易量
$23,161 交易量
2026-09-06
華氏85度或以下
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
13%
華氏100-101度
2%
102-103°F
<1%
華氏104度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 16%
98-99°F 13%
$23,161 交易量
$23,161 交易量
2026-09-06
華氏85度或以下
$3,173 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$1,516 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$623 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$2,269 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$2,951 交易量
16%
94-95°F
$3,975 交易量
32%
96-97°F
$4,333 交易量
30%
98-99°F
$2,009 交易量
13%
華氏100-101度
$1,085 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$670 交易量
<1%
華氏104度或更高
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a high in the mid-90s on September 6, driven by southerly flow, dew points near 74–76°F, and ample boundary-layer moisture that supports heat indices above 105°F.** Afternoon convection—isolated thunderstorms with 30–50% coverage—introduces the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could shave several degrees off the peak through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while delayed or limited activity would allow readings to reach 96–97°F. Historical September 6 averages near 93°F and recent September highs in the upper 90s to low 100s frame the setup, with traders weighting the narrow 94–97°F bins most heavily due to the narrow spread between model solutions and the timing of any convective initiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,161結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a high in the mid-90s on September 6, driven by southerly flow, dew points near 74–76°F, and ample boundary-layer moisture that supports heat indices above 105°F.** Afternoon convection—isolated thunderstorms with 30–50% coverage—introduces the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could shave several degrees off the peak through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while delayed or limited activity would allow readings to reach 96–97°F. Historical September 6 averages near 93°F and recent September highs in the upper 90s to low 100s frame the setup, with traders weighting the narrow 94–97°F bins most heavily due to the narrow spread between model solutions and the timing of any convective initiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,161結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a high in the mid-90s on September 6, driven by southerly flow, dew points near 74–76°F, and ample boundary-layer moisture that supports heat indices above 105°F.** Afternoon convection—isolated thunderstorms with 30–50% coverage—introduces the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could shave several degrees off the peak through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while delayed or limited activity would allow readings to reach 96–97°F. Historical September 6 averages near 93°F and recent September highs in the upper 90s to low 100s frame the setup, with traders weighting the narrow 94–97°F bins most heavily due to the narrow spread between model solutions and the timing of any convective initiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions