Florida's 2026 special Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody against Democratic state Representative Angie Nixon following their August 18 primaries. Moody secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after Rick Scott's departure from the seat, while Nixon defeated better-funded former National Security Council official Alex Vindman in an upset driven by turnout among progressive voters. Florida's established Republican lean, Moody's statewide profile as attorney general, and the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Nixon's platform emphasizing expansive social programs could limit crossover appeal in a battleground with shifting demographics. Late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key urban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$77,641 交易量
$77,641 交易量
共和黨
91%
民主黨
11%
$77,641 交易量
$77,641 交易量
共和黨
$47,084 交易量
91%
民主黨
$30,557 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody against Democratic state Representative Angie Nixon following their August 18 primaries. Moody secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after Rick Scott's departure from the seat, while Nixon defeated better-funded former National Security Council official Alex Vindman in an upset driven by turnout among progressive voters. Florida's established Republican lean, Moody's statewide profile as attorney general, and the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Nixon's platform emphasizing expansive social programs could limit crossover appeal in a battleground with shifting demographics. Late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key urban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$77,641市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody against Democratic state Representative Angie Nixon following their August 18 primaries. Moody secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after Rick Scott's departure from the seat, while Nixon defeated better-funded former National Security Council official Alex Vindman in an upset driven by turnout among progressive voters. Florida's established Republican lean, Moody's statewide profile as attorney general, and the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Nixon's platform emphasizing expansive social programs could limit crossover appeal in a battleground with shifting demographics. Late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key urban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$77,641市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 special Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody against Democratic state Representative Angie Nixon following their August 18 primaries. Moody secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after Rick Scott's departure from the seat, while Nixon defeated better-funded former National Security Council official Alex Vindman in an upset driven by turnout among progressive voters. Florida's established Republican lean, Moody's statewide profile as attorney general, and the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Nixon's platform emphasizing expansive social programs could limit crossover appeal in a battleground with shifting demographics. Late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key urban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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