Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody secured her party's nomination in the August 18 special primary with minimal opposition and holds consistent polling leads of 7–10 points or more against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Florida’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and Moody’s fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Nixon’s primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman introduced some uncertainty, yet structural factors have kept Democratic odds low. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$81,437 交易量
$81,437 交易量
共和黨
92%
民主黨
6%
$81,437 交易量
$81,437 交易量
共和黨
$49,306 交易量
92%
民主黨
$32,131 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody secured her party's nomination in the August 18 special primary with minimal opposition and holds consistent polling leads of 7–10 points or more against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Florida’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and Moody’s fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Nixon’s primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman introduced some uncertainty, yet structural factors have kept Democratic odds low. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$81,437市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody secured her party's nomination in the August 18 special primary with minimal opposition and holds consistent polling leads of 7–10 points or more against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Florida’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and Moody’s fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Nixon’s primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman introduced some uncertainty, yet structural factors have kept Democratic odds low. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$81,437市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody secured her party's nomination in the August 18 special primary with minimal opposition and holds consistent polling leads of 7–10 points or more against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Florida’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and Moody’s fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Nixon’s primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman introduced some uncertainty, yet structural factors have kept Democratic odds low. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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