The Florida Senate special election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holding a consistent lead over Democrat Angie Nixon in available polling, with the race rated Likely Republican. This positioning has shaped trader expectations toward moderate total turnout in the 7.75M-8M range as the highest-probability outcome. Recent primary results from August 18, with Moody securing the GOP nomination and Nixon advancing on the Democratic side, have clarified the matchup without introducing major new catalysts for elevated participation. Florida's large registered voter base, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the absence of presidential-year intensity, supports these bins over higher or lower extremes, as early indicators like party registration trends and historical non-presidential election volumes align with consensus pricing around that level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於750萬-775萬 25.4%
775萬-800萬 22.9%
875萬-900萬 19%
725萬-750萬 17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
低於700萬
6%
700萬至725萬
14%
725萬-750萬
17%
750萬-775萬
25%
775萬-800萬
23%
800萬-825萬
14%
825萬-850萬
9%
850萬至875萬
15%
875萬-900萬
19%
9百萬以上
16%
750萬-775萬 25.4%
775萬-800萬 22.9%
875萬-900萬 19%
725萬-750萬 17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
低於700萬
$79 交易量
6%
700萬至725萬
$39 交易量
14%
725萬-750萬
$44 交易量
17%
750萬-775萬
$48 交易量
25%
775萬-800萬
$39 交易量
23%
800萬-825萬
$39 交易量
14%
825萬-850萬
$97 交易量
9%
850萬至875萬
$39 交易量
15%
875萬-900萬
$86 交易量
19%
9百萬以上
$39 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Florida Senate special election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holding a consistent lead over Democrat Angie Nixon in available polling, with the race rated Likely Republican. This positioning has shaped trader expectations toward moderate total turnout in the 7.75M-8M range as the highest-probability outcome. Recent primary results from August 18, with Moody securing the GOP nomination and Nixon advancing on the Democratic side, have clarified the matchup without introducing major new catalysts for elevated participation. Florida's large registered voter base, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the absence of presidential-year intensity, supports these bins over higher or lower extremes, as early indicators like party registration trends and historical non-presidential election volumes align with consensus pricing around that level.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
交易量
$549結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Florida Senate special election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holding a consistent lead over Democrat Angie Nixon in available polling, with the race rated Likely Republican. This positioning has shaped trader expectations toward moderate total turnout in the 7.75M-8M range as the highest-probability outcome. Recent primary results from August 18, with Moody securing the GOP nomination and Nixon advancing on the Democratic side, have clarified the matchup without introducing major new catalysts for elevated participation. Florida's large registered voter base, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the absence of presidential-year intensity, supports these bins over higher or lower extremes, as early indicators like party registration trends and historical non-presidential election volumes align with consensus pricing around that level.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$549結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETThe Florida Senate special election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holding a consistent lead over Democrat Angie Nixon in available polling, with the race rated Likely Republican. This positioning has shaped trader expectations toward moderate total turnout in the 7.75M-8M range as the highest-probability outcome. Recent primary results from August 18, with Moody securing the GOP nomination and Nixon advancing on the Democratic side, have clarified the matchup without introducing major new catalysts for elevated participation. Florida's large registered voter base, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the absence of presidential-year intensity, supports these bins over higher or lower extremes, as early indicators like party registration trends and historical non-presidential election volumes align with consensus pricing around that level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions