**Traders price "No" at 94.5% because President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no imminent removal before the end of 2026.** Turkey's next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections remain set for May 2028, with his AKP and nationalist allies publicly committed to that timeline rather than an early vote. A three-fifths parliamentary majority would be required to trigger snap elections that could reset term limits and allow another candidacy, but the ruling coalition lacks the votes without opposition support. Recent developments have further consolidated his position: opposition figures including Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu remain sidelined by legal actions, the main CHP party has splintered after court rulings ousting its leadership, and Erdoğan continues routine governance including meetings with allies and statements referencing the 2028 cycle. No credible challenges, health developments, or institutional moves have emerged in the past several months to alter this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$638,255 交易量
$638,255 交易量
2026-12-30
賺 3.25% 收益
是
6% 機率
$638,255 交易量
$638,255 交易量
2026-12-30
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders price "No" at 94.5% because President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no imminent removal before the end of 2026.** Turkey's next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections remain set for May 2028, with his AKP and nationalist allies publicly committed to that timeline rather than an early vote. A three-fifths parliamentary majority would be required to trigger snap elections that could reset term limits and allow another candidacy, but the ruling coalition lacks the votes without opposition support. Recent developments have further consolidated his position: opposition figures including Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu remain sidelined by legal actions, the main CHP party has splintered after court rulings ousting its leadership, and Erdoğan continues routine governance including meetings with allies and statements referencing the 2028 cycle. No credible challenges, health developments, or institutional moves have emerged in the past several months to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$638,255結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders price "No" at 94.5% because President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no imminent removal before the end of 2026.** Turkey's next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections remain set for May 2028, with his AKP and nationalist allies publicly committed to that timeline rather than an early vote. A three-fifths parliamentary majority would be required to trigger snap elections that could reset term limits and allow another candidacy, but the ruling coalition lacks the votes without opposition support. Recent developments have further consolidated his position: opposition figures including Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu remain sidelined by legal actions, the main CHP party has splintered after court rulings ousting its leadership, and Erdoğan continues routine governance including meetings with allies and statements referencing the 2028 cycle. No credible challenges, health developments, or institutional moves have emerged in the past several months to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$638,255結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET**Traders price "No" at 94.5% because President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no imminent removal before the end of 2026.** Turkey's next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections remain set for May 2028, with his AKP and nationalist allies publicly committed to that timeline rather than an early vote. A three-fifths parliamentary majority would be required to trigger snap elections that could reset term limits and allow another candidacy, but the ruling coalition lacks the votes without opposition support. Recent developments have further consolidated his position: opposition figures including Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu remain sidelined by legal actions, the main CHP party has splintered after court rulings ousting its leadership, and Erdoğan continues routine governance including meetings with allies and statements referencing the 2028 cycle. No credible challenges, health developments, or institutional moves have emerged in the past several months to alter this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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