**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 49%
65-89 27%
少於40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,404 交易量
$45,404 交易量
2026-08-08
少於40
18%
40-64
49%
65-89
27%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 27%
少於40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,404 交易量
$45,404 交易量
2026-08-08
少於40
$6,621 交易量
18%
40-64
$4,551 交易量
49%
65-89
$3,136 交易量
27%
90-114
$4,410 交易量
7%
115-139
$6,411 交易量
2%
140-164
$8,595 交易量
<1%
165-189
$2,210 交易量
<1%
190-214
$5,767 交易量
<1%
215-239
$1,771 交易量
<1%
240+
$1,931 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$45,404結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$45,404結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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