Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 4-11 centers on his established X posting rhythm, with market-implied odds tightly grouped around 200-239 as the frontrunners. Musk's activity typically averages 25-35 posts daily, driven by business announcements, real-time commentary, and platform engagement, producing a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome. Without scheduled catalysts like major product reveals or political events in the window, probabilities remain dispersed across bins, underscoring the role of unpredictable news cycles or travel-related dips. Historical patterns and recent weekly totals reinforce this balanced trader consensus, with any late momentum from breaking developments likely to influence the final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
200-219 17%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
240-259 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
4%
160-179
7%
180-199
15%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
6%
300-319
8%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
5%
380-399
10%
400-419
11%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 17%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
240-259 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
<20
$1,675 交易量
<1%
20-39
$1,645 交易量
<1%
40-59
$1,645 交易量
<1%
60-79
$836 交易量
<1%
80-99
$10 交易量
1%
100-119
$45 交易量
1%
120-139
$35 交易量
4%
140-159
$25 交易量
4%
160-179
$25 交易量
7%
180-199
$1,228 交易量
15%
200-219
$30 交易量
17%
220-239
$30 交易量
15%
240-259
$74 交易量
14%
260-279
$25 交易量
9%
280-299
$45 交易量
6%
300-319
$87 交易量
8%
320-339
$438 交易量
3%
340-359
$596 交易量
2%
360-379
$180 交易量
5%
380-399
$10 交易量
10%
400-419
$10 交易量
11%
420-439
$187 交易量
<1%
440-459
$35 交易量
<1%
460-479
$35 交易量
<1%
480-499
$135 交易量
<1%
500+
$156 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 4-11 centers on his established X posting rhythm, with market-implied odds tightly grouped around 200-239 as the frontrunners. Musk's activity typically averages 25-35 posts daily, driven by business announcements, real-time commentary, and platform engagement, producing a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome. Without scheduled catalysts like major product reveals or political events in the window, probabilities remain dispersed across bins, underscoring the role of unpredictable news cycles or travel-related dips. Historical patterns and recent weekly totals reinforce this balanced trader consensus, with any late momentum from breaking developments likely to influence the final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$9,243結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 4-11 centers on his established X posting rhythm, with market-implied odds tightly grouped around 200-239 as the frontrunners. Musk's activity typically averages 25-35 posts daily, driven by business announcements, real-time commentary, and platform engagement, producing a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome. Without scheduled catalysts like major product reveals or political events in the window, probabilities remain dispersed across bins, underscoring the role of unpredictable news cycles or travel-related dips. Historical patterns and recent weekly totals reinforce this balanced trader consensus, with any late momentum from breaking developments likely to influence the final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,243結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 4-11 centers on his established X posting rhythm, with market-implied odds tightly grouped around 200-239 as the frontrunners. Musk's activity typically averages 25-35 posts daily, driven by business announcements, real-time commentary, and platform engagement, producing a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome. Without scheduled catalysts like major product reveals or political events in the window, probabilities remain dispersed across bins, underscoring the role of unpredictable news cycles or travel-related dips. Historical patterns and recent weekly totals reinforce this balanced trader consensus, with any late momentum from breaking developments likely to influence the final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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