Elon Musk’s highly variable posting pace on X, shaped by real-time business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside political or platform developments, underpins the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges. With no major announcements or crises confirmed ahead of the August 1-3 window, traders are pricing in a moderate daily average of roughly 13-30 tweets, consistent with documented swings from quieter periods to extended threads or quote storms. Recent short-window markets show similar uncertainty, where the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news keeps the field open and favors ranges that capture baseline engagement without assuming outlier activity. Upcoming chart updates or any Tesla-related developments could quickly shift momentum toward higher bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 39%
65-89 32%
90-114 14.3%
<40 14%
最新
$52,462 交易量
最新
$52,462 交易量
2026-08-03
<40
14%
40-64
39%
65-89
32%
90-114
14%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 39%
65-89 32%
90-114 14.3%
<40 14%
最新
$52,462 交易量
最新
$52,462 交易量
2026-08-03
<40
$4,223 交易量
14%
40-64
$5,973 交易量
39%
65-89
$2,636 交易量
32%
90-114
$3,581 交易量
14%
115-139
$3,819 交易量
3%
140-164
$4,977 交易量
1%
165-189
$6,828 交易量
<1%
190-214
$6,507 交易量
<1%
215-239
$6,588 交易量
<1%
240+
$7,330 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s highly variable posting pace on X, shaped by real-time business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside political or platform developments, underpins the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges. With no major announcements or crises confirmed ahead of the August 1-3 window, traders are pricing in a moderate daily average of roughly 13-30 tweets, consistent with documented swings from quieter periods to extended threads or quote storms. Recent short-window markets show similar uncertainty, where the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news keeps the field open and favors ranges that capture baseline engagement without assuming outlier activity. Upcoming chart updates or any Tesla-related developments could quickly shift momentum toward higher bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$52,462結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s highly variable posting pace on X, shaped by real-time business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside political or platform developments, underpins the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges. With no major announcements or crises confirmed ahead of the August 1-3 window, traders are pricing in a moderate daily average of roughly 13-30 tweets, consistent with documented swings from quieter periods to extended threads or quote storms. Recent short-window markets show similar uncertainty, where the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news keeps the field open and favors ranges that capture baseline engagement without assuming outlier activity. Upcoming chart updates or any Tesla-related developments could quickly shift momentum toward higher bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$52,462結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s highly variable posting pace on X, shaped by real-time business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside political or platform developments, underpins the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges. With no major announcements or crises confirmed ahead of the August 1-3 window, traders are pricing in a moderate daily average of roughly 13-30 tweets, consistent with documented swings from quieter periods to extended threads or quote storms. Recent short-window markets show similar uncertainty, where the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news keeps the field open and favors ranges that capture baseline engagement without assuming outlier activity. Upcoming chart updates or any Tesla-related developments could quickly shift momentum toward higher bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions