**Trader consensus on the White House X account's output for August 4-11, 2026, centers on elevated weekly volume, with 200+ posts holding a slim lead at 51.5% implied probability and several mid-to-high ranges clustered near 42%.** This positioning reflects the account's established cadence under the current administration, which features frequent official updates, policy announcements, event coverage, and digital content designed for engagement. Historical patterns from earlier in the term show the @WhiteHouse account routinely exceeding 150-200 posts in active weeks, driven by an expanded Office of Digital Strategy emphasizing rapid responses and varied formats. With no singular high-impact event scheduled in the immediate window and typical August rhythms including legislative updates or travel, the market remains tightly bunched. Developments that could widen spreads include major executive actions, diplomatic summits, or extended low-news periods that alter the daily posting rate. The close probabilities capture this inherent week-to-week variability in official communications volume.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
60-79 83%
80-99 83%
200+ 51%
<20 49%
<20
49%
20-39
49%
40-59
49%
60-79
83%
80-99
83%
100-119
42%
120-139
42%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180-199
42%
200+
51%
60-79 83%
80-99 83%
200+ 51%
<20 49%
<20
49%
20-39
49%
40-59
49%
60-79
83%
80-99
83%
100-119
42%
120-139
42%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180-199
42%
200+
51%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the White House X account's output for August 4-11, 2026, centers on elevated weekly volume, with 200+ posts holding a slim lead at 51.5% implied probability and several mid-to-high ranges clustered near 42%.** This positioning reflects the account's established cadence under the current administration, which features frequent official updates, policy announcements, event coverage, and digital content designed for engagement. Historical patterns from earlier in the term show the @WhiteHouse account routinely exceeding 150-200 posts in active weeks, driven by an expanded Office of Digital Strategy emphasizing rapid responses and varied formats. With no singular high-impact event scheduled in the immediate window and typical August rhythms including legislative updates or travel, the market remains tightly bunched. Developments that could widen spreads include major executive actions, diplomatic summits, or extended low-news periods that alter the daily posting rate. The close probabilities capture this inherent week-to-week variability in official communications volume.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions