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icon for White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

60-79 83%

80-99 83%

200+ 51%

<20 49%

Polymarket
最新

60-79 83%

80-99 83%

200+ 51%

<20 49%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$10 交易量

49%

20-39

$10 交易量

49%

40-59

$10 交易量

49%

60-79

$10 交易量

83%

80-99

$10 交易量

83%

100-119

$0 交易量

42%

120-139

$0 交易量

42%

140-159

$0 交易量

42%

160-179

$0 交易量

42%

180-199

$0 交易量

42%

200+

$0 交易量

51%

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the White House X account's output for August 4-11, 2026, centers on elevated weekly volume, with 200+ posts holding a slim lead at 51.5% implied probability and several mid-to-high ranges clustered near 42%.** This positioning reflects the account's established cadence under the current administration, which features frequent official updates, policy announcements, event coverage, and digital content designed for engagement. Historical patterns from earlier in the term show the @WhiteHouse account routinely exceeding 150-200 posts in active weeks, driven by an expanded Office of Digital Strategy emphasizing rapid responses and varied formats. With no singular high-impact event scheduled in the immediate window and typical August rhythms including legislative updates or travel, the market remains tightly bunched. Developments that could widen spreads include major executive actions, diplomatic summits, or extended low-news periods that alter the daily posting rate. The close probabilities capture this inherent week-to-week variability in official communications volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$50
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the White House X account's output for August 4-11, 2026, centers on elevated weekly volume, with 200+ posts holding a slim lead at 51.5% implied probability and several mid-to-high ranges clustered near 42%.** This positioning reflects the account's established cadence under the current administration, which features frequent official updates, policy announcements, event coverage, and digital content designed for engagement. Historical patterns from earlier in the term show the @WhiteHouse account routinely exceeding 150-200 posts in active weeks, driven by an expanded Office of Digital Strategy emphasizing rapid responses and varied formats. With no singular high-impact event scheduled in the immediate window and typical August rhythms including legislative updates or travel, the market remains tightly bunched. Developments that could widen spreads include major executive actions, diplomatic summits, or extended low-news periods that alter the daily posting rate. The close probabilities capture this inherent week-to-week variability in official communications volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$50
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 52%, followed by "180-199" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is "200+" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.