Recent three-day windows have repeatedly resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 tweet brackets, establishing the current market hierarchy where those ranges hold the clearest implied probabilities. Traders are pricing in a continuation of Elon Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 15-25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that historically drive daily volume above 30. The Aug 24-26 period, which traded heavily around the 65-89 bucket before settlement, reinforced this moderate baseline, while earlier August brackets showed similar restraint outside of sustained news cycles. With the Aug 27-29 window spanning a typical mid-week to weekend stretch and no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the distribution favors outcomes clustered in the lower-to-mid ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月27日至8月29日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月27日至8月29日？
40-64 43%
65-89 33%
少於40 13%
90-114 10%
最新
$19,800 交易量
最新
$19,800 交易量
2026-08-29
少於40
13%
40-64
43%
65-89
33%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
3%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 43%
65-89 33%
少於40 13%
90-114 10%
最新
$19,800 交易量
最新
$19,800 交易量
2026-08-29
少於40
$1,374 交易量
13%
40-64
$3,314 交易量
43%
65-89
$2,136 交易量
33%
90-114
$3,697 交易量
10%
115-139
$3,360 交易量
2%
140-164
$2,503 交易量
1%
165-189
$347 交易量
3%
190-214
$1,571 交易量
1%
215-239
$746 交易量
<1%
240+
$752 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows have repeatedly resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 tweet brackets, establishing the current market hierarchy where those ranges hold the clearest implied probabilities. Traders are pricing in a continuation of Elon Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 15-25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that historically drive daily volume above 30. The Aug 24-26 period, which traded heavily around the 65-89 bucket before settlement, reinforced this moderate baseline, while earlier August brackets showed similar restraint outside of sustained news cycles. With the Aug 27-29 window spanning a typical mid-week to weekend stretch and no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the distribution favors outcomes clustered in the lower-to-mid ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$19,800結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows have repeatedly resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 tweet brackets, establishing the current market hierarchy where those ranges hold the clearest implied probabilities. Traders are pricing in a continuation of Elon Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 15-25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that historically drive daily volume above 30. The Aug 24-26 period, which traded heavily around the 65-89 bucket before settlement, reinforced this moderate baseline, while earlier August brackets showed similar restraint outside of sustained news cycles. With the Aug 27-29 window spanning a typical mid-week to weekend stretch and no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the distribution favors outcomes clustered in the lower-to-mid ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,800結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent three-day windows have repeatedly resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 tweet brackets, establishing the current market hierarchy where those ranges hold the clearest implied probabilities. Traders are pricing in a continuation of Elon Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 15-25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that historically drive daily volume above 30. The Aug 24-26 period, which traded heavily around the 65-89 bucket before settlement, reinforced this moderate baseline, while earlier August brackets showed similar restraint outside of sustained news cycles. With the Aug 27-29 window spanning a typical mid-week to weekend stretch and no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the distribution favors outcomes clustered in the lower-to-mid ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions