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icon for 法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?

法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?

icon for 法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?

法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s Truth API service was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation.** The complaint alleges that the paid early-access feed—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 per month for priority access to President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to official announcements. It seeks declaratory and injunctive relief to halt the arrangement. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Legal proceedings in federal district court typically require weeks or months to reach a preliminary injunction decision, and the October 31 deadline leaves limited time for full briefing, argument, and any appeal. The service continues to operate with reported subscribers, and the company has publicly defended it as a standard data-feed product. Traders price the low probability of a court-ordered block by the deadline on the combination of procedural timelines, the absence of emergency relief to date, and the early posture of litigation that does not yet signal an imminent adverse outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s Truth API service was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation.** The complaint alleges that the paid early-access feed—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 per month for priority access to President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to official announcements. It seeks declaratory and injunctive relief to halt the arrangement. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Legal proceedings in federal district court typically require weeks or months to reach a preliminary injunction decision, and the October 31 deadline leaves limited time for full briefing, argument, and any appeal. The service continues to operate with reported subscribers, and the company has publicly defended it as a standard data-feed product. Traders price the low probability of a court-ordered block by the deadline on the combination of procedural timelines, the absence of emergency relief to date, and the early posture of litigation that does not yet signal an imminent adverse outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "法院阻止特朗普的Truth Social 10萬元早期存取計劃於10月31日前實施?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?" is "法院阻止特朗普的Truth Social 10萬元早期存取計劃於10月31日前實施?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "法院在10月31日之前阻止特朗普的$ 100,000 Truth Social搶先試用計劃?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.