The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
蘇丹
68%

伊拉克
53%

埃及
35%

敘利亞
29%

巴林
21%

索馬利亞
18%

卡塔爾
16%

摩洛哥
16%

約旦
16%

伊朗
11%

科威特
11%

葉門
9%

阿拉伯聯合大公國
9%

阿曼
8%

阿爾及利亞
7%

黎巴嫩
7%
$8,080 交易量

蘇丹
68%

伊拉克
53%

埃及
35%

敘利亞
29%

巴林
21%

索馬利亞
18%

卡塔爾
16%

摩洛哥
16%

約旦
16%

伊朗
11%

科威特
11%

葉門
9%

阿拉伯聯合大公國
9%

阿曼
8%

阿爾及利亞
7%

黎巴嫩
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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