**Connecticut's November 2026 gubernatorial election features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont seeking a third term against Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters.** Recent polls show Lamont leading by 15–20 points, reflecting limited competitiveness that historically dampens midterm turnout. Registered voters total roughly 2.35 million, with 2022 gubernatorial turnout at about 1.27 million ballots (57.6%) and 2024 presidential turnout near 1.79 million (around 67%). The Democratic primary drew just over 110,000 votes, signaling subdued engagement. Trader consensus centers on the 1.3M–1.4M range as the most probable outcome, consistent with off-year patterns in a low-salience contest where factors like early voting access, same-day registration, and mobilization efforts could modestly influence participation but face structural headwinds from the race's predictability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於130萬-140萬 39%
140萬-150萬 15%
110萬–120萬 14%
150萬-160萬 9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
低於100萬
1%
100萬-110萬
3%
110萬–120萬
14%
120萬-130萬
9%
130萬-140萬
39%
140萬-150萬
15%
150萬-160萬
9%
160 萬+
5%
130萬-140萬 39%
140萬-150萬 15%
110萬–120萬 14%
150萬-160萬 9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
低於100萬
$683 交易量
1%
100萬-110萬
$955 交易量
3%
110萬–120萬
$124 交易量
14%
120萬-130萬
$169 交易量
9%
130萬-140萬
$1,678 交易量
39%
140萬-150萬
$114 交易量
15%
150萬-160萬
$64 交易量
9%
160 萬+
$64 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Connecticut's November 2026 gubernatorial election features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont seeking a third term against Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters.** Recent polls show Lamont leading by 15–20 points, reflecting limited competitiveness that historically dampens midterm turnout. Registered voters total roughly 2.35 million, with 2022 gubernatorial turnout at about 1.27 million ballots (57.6%) and 2024 presidential turnout near 1.79 million (around 67%). The Democratic primary drew just over 110,000 votes, signaling subdued engagement. Trader consensus centers on the 1.3M–1.4M range as the most probable outcome, consistent with off-year patterns in a low-salience contest where factors like early voting access, same-day registration, and mobilization efforts could modestly influence participation but face structural headwinds from the race's predictability.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
交易量
$3,850結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Connecticut's November 2026 gubernatorial election features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont seeking a third term against Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters.** Recent polls show Lamont leading by 15–20 points, reflecting limited competitiveness that historically dampens midterm turnout. Registered voters total roughly 2.35 million, with 2022 gubernatorial turnout at about 1.27 million ballots (57.6%) and 2024 presidential turnout near 1.79 million (around 67%). The Democratic primary drew just over 110,000 votes, signaling subdued engagement. Trader consensus centers on the 1.3M–1.4M range as the most probable outcome, consistent with off-year patterns in a low-salience contest where factors like early voting access, same-day registration, and mobilization efforts could modestly influence participation but face structural headwinds from the race's predictability.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,850結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET**Connecticut's November 2026 gubernatorial election features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont seeking a third term against Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters.** Recent polls show Lamont leading by 15–20 points, reflecting limited competitiveness that historically dampens midterm turnout. Registered voters total roughly 2.35 million, with 2022 gubernatorial turnout at about 1.27 million ballots (57.6%) and 2024 presidential turnout near 1.79 million (around 67%). The Democratic primary drew just over 110,000 votes, signaling subdued engagement. Trader consensus centers on the 1.3M–1.4M range as the most probable outcome, consistent with off-year patterns in a low-salience contest where factors like early voting access, same-day registration, and mobilization efforts could modestly influence participation but face structural headwinds from the race's predictability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions