Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs secured a strong top-two primary finish in June 2026 against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, advancing comfortably in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10. This outcome reflects entrenched San Diego-area voting patterns favoring Democrats, combined with Jacobs' incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 94.5 percent. Realistic scenarios that could alter the result before the November 3 general election include a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent or an unusually sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,177 交易量
$32,177 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$32,177 交易量
$32,177 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$17,923 交易量
95%
共和黨
$14,253 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs secured a strong top-two primary finish in June 2026 against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, advancing comfortably in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10. This outcome reflects entrenched San Diego-area voting patterns favoring Democrats, combined with Jacobs' incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 94.5 percent. Realistic scenarios that could alter the result before the November 3 general election include a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent or an unusually sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,177結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs secured a strong top-two primary finish in June 2026 against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, advancing comfortably in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10. This outcome reflects entrenched San Diego-area voting patterns favoring Democrats, combined with Jacobs' incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 94.5 percent. Realistic scenarios that could alter the result before the November 3 general election include a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent or an unusually sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,177結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs secured a strong top-two primary finish in June 2026 against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, advancing comfortably in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10. This outcome reflects entrenched San Diego-area voting patterns favoring Democrats, combined with Jacobs' incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 94.5 percent. Realistic scenarios that could alter the result before the November 3 general election include a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent or an unusually sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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