Recent August incidents, including a three-hour outage on Claude Code and Cowork tied to an upstream cloud provider plus multiple shorter login and elevated-error events on August 24, underscore Anthropic’s infrastructure scaling pressures as Claude models and agentic tools face rising enterprise demand. Traders see this pattern of frequent, brief disruptions—often resolved within hours but recurring weekly—driving the tight contest between 8-10 days (37%) and 11-13 days (32.5%) of September downtime. Key differentiators include dependence on third-party cloud capacity, the expanding footprint of features like Claude Code that amplify outage impact, and Anthropic’s track record of quick mitigations yet persistent minor incidents across API and consumer interfaces. Upcoming model updates or load spikes could shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8-10 37%
11-13 33%
5-7 21%
14+ 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
21%
8-10
37%
11-13
33%
14+
8%
8-10 37%
11-13 33%
5-7 21%
14+ 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<5
$179 KL.
4%
5-7
$5 KL.
21%
8-10
$105 KL.
37%
11-13
$213 KL.
33%
14+
$93 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent August incidents, including a three-hour outage on Claude Code and Cowork tied to an upstream cloud provider plus multiple shorter login and elevated-error events on August 24, underscore Anthropic’s infrastructure scaling pressures as Claude models and agentic tools face rising enterprise demand. Traders see this pattern of frequent, brief disruptions—often resolved within hours but recurring weekly—driving the tight contest between 8-10 days (37%) and 11-13 days (32.5%) of September downtime. Key differentiators include dependence on third-party cloud capacity, the expanding footprint of features like Claude Code that amplify outage impact, and Anthropic’s track record of quick mitigations yet persistent minor incidents across API and consumer interfaces. Upcoming model updates or load spikes could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$596Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent August incidents, including a three-hour outage on Claude Code and Cowork tied to an upstream cloud provider plus multiple shorter login and elevated-error events on August 24, underscore Anthropic’s infrastructure scaling pressures as Claude models and agentic tools face rising enterprise demand. Traders see this pattern of frequent, brief disruptions—often resolved within hours but recurring weekly—driving the tight contest between 8-10 days (37%) and 11-13 days (32.5%) of September downtime. Key differentiators include dependence on third-party cloud capacity, the expanding footprint of features like Claude Code that amplify outage impact, and Anthropic’s track record of quick mitigations yet persistent minor incidents across API and consumer interfaces. Upcoming model updates or load spikes could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Khối lượng
$596Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent August incidents, including a three-hour outage on Claude Code and Cowork tied to an upstream cloud provider plus multiple shorter login and elevated-error events on August 24, underscore Anthropic’s infrastructure scaling pressures as Claude models and agentic tools face rising enterprise demand. Traders see this pattern of frequent, brief disruptions—often resolved within hours but recurring weekly—driving the tight contest between 8-10 days (37%) and 11-13 days (32.5%) of September downtime. Key differentiators include dependence on third-party cloud capacity, the expanding footprint of features like Claude Code that amplify outage impact, and Anthropic’s track record of quick mitigations yet persistent minor incidents across API and consumer interfaces. Upcoming model updates or load spikes could shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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