Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMoonshot 94.5%
Anthropic 3.1%
Alibaba 2.5%
OpenAI <1%
$17,685 KL.
$17,685 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
Moonshot
95%
Anthropic
3%
Alibaba
2%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Moonshot 94.5%
Anthropic 3.1%
Alibaba 2.5%
OpenAI <1%
$17,685 KL.
$17,685 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
Moonshot
$4,751 KL.
95%
Anthropic
$1,359 KL.
3%
Alibaba
$1,249 KL.
2%
OpenAI
$4,699 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,007 KL.
1%
MiniMax
$962 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$905 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$237 KL.
<1%
Meta
$255 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$345 KL.
<1%
$496 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$237 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$370 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$180 KL.
<1%
Poolside
$633 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,685Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Khối lượng
$17,685Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp