Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the Vermont governor race reflects his long record of cross-party support in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, with traders assigning an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, ran unopposed in the August 11 primary while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her party's nomination. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though his job approval had fallen to its lowest level in years amid broader voter concerns. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, and the roughly two-month window until the November 3 election offers limited time for the underdog Democratic campaign to close the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVermont Governor Election Winner
Vermont Governor Election Winner
$66,830 KL.
$66,830 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
87%
Democrat
11%
$66,830 KL.
$66,830 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$31,961 KL.
87%
Democrat
$34,869 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the Vermont governor race reflects his long record of cross-party support in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, with traders assigning an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, ran unopposed in the August 11 primary while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her party's nomination. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though his job approval had fallen to its lowest level in years amid broader voter concerns. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, and the roughly two-month window until the November 3 election offers limited time for the underdog Democratic campaign to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$66,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the Vermont governor race reflects his long record of cross-party support in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, with traders assigning an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, ran unopposed in the August 11 primary while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her party's nomination. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though his job approval had fallen to its lowest level in years amid broader voter concerns. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, and the roughly two-month window until the November 3 election offers limited time for the underdog Democratic campaign to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$66,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the Vermont governor race reflects his long record of cross-party support in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, with traders assigning an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, ran unopposed in the August 11 primary while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her party's nomination. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though his job approval had fallen to its lowest level in years amid broader voter concerns. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, and the roughly two-month window until the November 3 election offers limited time for the underdog Democratic campaign to close the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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