Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-05 House Election Winner
OR-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$884 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$4,137 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,021Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,021Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured renomination in May 2026 with over 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican Patti Adair emerged from her party's contest to challenge in the November general election. The district's D+4 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating reflect structural advantages for the incumbent, including established fundraising totals exceeding $3 million and a base in Portland suburbs and Bend. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these factors and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds, unusually high turnout in GOP-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late polling swings capable of overcoming the current margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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