Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-03 House Election Winner
$32,817 KL.
$32,817 KL.
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
12%
$32,817 KL.
$32,817 KL.
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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