Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Karianne Lisonbee after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries to encompass more reliably Republican territory in northern Utah counties. The adjusted district delivered a 29-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Moore benefits from incumbency, party endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic strength in recent cycles. With Democrat Peter Crosby as the general-election opponent on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and consistent historical voting patterns. A national Democratic surge, nominee scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could alter the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,105 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$5,941 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Karianne Lisonbee after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries to encompass more reliably Republican territory in northern Utah counties. The adjusted district delivered a 29-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Moore benefits from incumbency, party endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic strength in recent cycles. With Democrat Peter Crosby as the general-election opponent on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and consistent historical voting patterns. A national Democratic surge, nominee scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could alter the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,046Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Karianne Lisonbee after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries to encompass more reliably Republican territory in northern Utah counties. The adjusted district delivered a 29-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Moore benefits from incumbency, party endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic strength in recent cycles. With Democrat Peter Crosby as the general-election opponent on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and consistent historical voting patterns. A national Democratic surge, nominee scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could alter the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,046Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Karianne Lisonbee after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries to encompass more reliably Republican territory in northern Utah counties. The adjusted district delivered a 29-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Moore benefits from incumbency, party endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic strength in recent cycles. With Democrat Peter Crosby as the general-election opponent on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and consistent historical voting patterns. A national Democratic surge, nominee scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could alter the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp