Persistent economic discontent and voter skepticism toward trade policies, including recent tariffs, continue to anchor Donald Trump’s approval rating near 38 percent ahead of the September 18 measurement. Recent national surveys from sources such as the Economist/YouGov, NBC News, and Reuters/Ipsos show figures clustered between 33 and 39 percent, reflecting widespread pessimism about the economy, cost of living, and personal finances that has held steady into early September. With the 2026 midterms approaching, these structural pressures limit upside movement while base support prevents sharper declines, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities tightly grouped across the 37.5–38.9 range. Fresh economic indicators, tariff developments, or diplomatic signals could shift sentiment before the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.0–38.4 35%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
8%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
35%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
5%
38.0–38.4 35%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$63 KL.
5%
37.0–37.4
$94 KL.
8%
37.5–37.9
$24 KL.
27%
38.0–38.4
$144 KL.
35%
38.5–38.9
$136 KL.
26%
39.0+
$129 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistent economic discontent and voter skepticism toward trade policies, including recent tariffs, continue to anchor Donald Trump’s approval rating near 38 percent ahead of the September 18 measurement. Recent national surveys from sources such as the Economist/YouGov, NBC News, and Reuters/Ipsos show figures clustered between 33 and 39 percent, reflecting widespread pessimism about the economy, cost of living, and personal finances that has held steady into early September. With the 2026 midterms approaching, these structural pressures limit upside movement while base support prevents sharper declines, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities tightly grouped across the 37.5–38.9 range. Fresh economic indicators, tariff developments, or diplomatic signals could shift sentiment before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$588Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistent economic discontent and voter skepticism toward trade policies, including recent tariffs, continue to anchor Donald Trump’s approval rating near 38 percent ahead of the September 18 measurement. Recent national surveys from sources such as the Economist/YouGov, NBC News, and Reuters/Ipsos show figures clustered between 33 and 39 percent, reflecting widespread pessimism about the economy, cost of living, and personal finances that has held steady into early September. With the 2026 midterms approaching, these structural pressures limit upside movement while base support prevents sharper declines, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities tightly grouped across the 37.5–38.9 range. Fresh economic indicators, tariff developments, or diplomatic signals could shift sentiment before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$588Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent economic discontent and voter skepticism toward trade policies, including recent tariffs, continue to anchor Donald Trump’s approval rating near 38 percent ahead of the September 18 measurement. Recent national surveys from sources such as the Economist/YouGov, NBC News, and Reuters/Ipsos show figures clustered between 33 and 39 percent, reflecting widespread pessimism about the economy, cost of living, and personal finances that has held steady into early September. With the 2026 midterms approaching, these structural pressures limit upside movement while base support prevents sharper declines, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities tightly grouped across the 37.5–38.9 range. Fresh economic indicators, tariff developments, or diplomatic signals could shift sentiment before the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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