Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds strong trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, mayoral election, reflecting his established position after winning the seat in 2022 and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP formally nominated former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026 as its candidate, yet Huang trails significantly in available surveys from earlier in the year. Limited movement appears in recent months, with KMT efforts to coordinate local candidates noted in July updates and no major new polling or campaign shifts reported in the immediate period. Other named or potential contenders register negligible pricing, underscoring the market's assessment of the race dynamics between the two major parties and the structural advantages of incumbency in this special municipality contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChang San-cheng 89%
Huang Shih-chieh 4.8%
Perng Shaw-jiin <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chang San-cheng
89%
Huang Shih-chieh
5%
Perng Shaw-jiin
<1%
Chang San-cheng 89%
Huang Shih-chieh 4.8%
Perng Shaw-jiin <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chang San-cheng
$2,480 KL.
89%
Huang Shih-chieh
$1,334 KL.
5%
Perng Shaw-jiin
$1,038 KL.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds strong trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, mayoral election, reflecting his established position after winning the seat in 2022 and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP formally nominated former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026 as its candidate, yet Huang trails significantly in available surveys from earlier in the year. Limited movement appears in recent months, with KMT efforts to coordinate local candidates noted in July updates and no major new polling or campaign shifts reported in the immediate period. Other named or potential contenders register negligible pricing, underscoring the market's assessment of the race dynamics between the two major parties and the structural advantages of incumbency in this special municipality contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,852Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds strong trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, mayoral election, reflecting his established position after winning the seat in 2022 and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP formally nominated former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026 as its candidate, yet Huang trails significantly in available surveys from earlier in the year. Limited movement appears in recent months, with KMT efforts to coordinate local candidates noted in July updates and no major new polling or campaign shifts reported in the immediate period. Other named or potential contenders register negligible pricing, underscoring the market's assessment of the race dynamics between the two major parties and the structural advantages of incumbency in this special municipality contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$4,852Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds strong trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, mayoral election, reflecting his established position after winning the seat in 2022 and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP formally nominated former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026 as its candidate, yet Huang trails significantly in available surveys from earlier in the year. Limited movement appears in recent months, with KMT efforts to coordinate local candidates noted in July updates and no major new polling or campaign shifts reported in the immediate period. Other named or potential contenders register negligible pricing, underscoring the market's assessment of the race dynamics between the two major parties and the structural advantages of incumbency in this special municipality contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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