Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature official turnout targets of approximately 50 percent, maintained even as expectations for United Russia’s vote share were adjusted downward earlier this summer. Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through standard administrative measures, including mobilization of public-sector workers and students, alongside expanded electronic and multi-day voting options. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to participate, though awareness of the election date remained limited in mid-2026 surveys. These factors align with the market’s concentration on the 50–56 percent range, reflecting trader assessments of typical parliamentary turnout patterns under current institutional conditions rather than the higher participation seen in the 2024 presidential vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 38%
53-56% 22.1%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 KL.
$39,484 KL.
<47%
5%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
22%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
11%
62%+
12%
50-53% 38%
53-56% 22.1%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 KL.
$39,484 KL.
<47%
5%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
22%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
11%
62%+
12%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature official turnout targets of approximately 50 percent, maintained even as expectations for United Russia’s vote share were adjusted downward earlier this summer. Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through standard administrative measures, including mobilization of public-sector workers and students, alongside expanded electronic and multi-day voting options. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to participate, though awareness of the election date remained limited in mid-2026 surveys. These factors align with the market’s concentration on the 50–56 percent range, reflecting trader assessments of typical parliamentary turnout patterns under current institutional conditions rather than the higher participation seen in the 2024 presidential vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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