MrBeast’s recent uploads have consistently delivered 25–30 million views within the first 24 hours, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bracket. His channel’s massive subscriber base and proven stunt-driven format continue to generate reliable early momentum, even as some analysts note a modest decline from peak 2023–2024 openings that occasionally exceeded 40 million. Factors such as content familiarity, algorithmic distribution on YouTube, and competition for attention among younger viewers help explain the stabilized range. An upset above 30 million would likely require an unusually buzzy premise, high-profile collaboration, or viral social-media amplification in the hours after premiere, while a softer debut could occur if the topic fails to resonate with core audiences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
25–30M 100.0%
<20M <1%
20–25M <1%
30–35M <1%
$110,620 KL.
$110,620 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
<20M
No
20–25M
No
25–30M
Yes
30–35M
No
35–40M
No
40–45M
No
45–50M
No
50M+
No
25–30M 100.0%
<20M <1%
20–25M <1%
30–35M <1%
$110,620 KL.
$110,620 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
<20M
$22,413 KL.
No
20–25M
$24,805 KL.
No
25–30M
$31,162 KL.
Yes
30–35M
$21,551 KL.
No
35–40M
$8,506 KL.
No
40–45M
$788 KL.
No
45–50M
$315 KL.
No
50M+
$1,079 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s recent uploads have consistently delivered 25–30 million views within the first 24 hours, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bracket. His channel’s massive subscriber base and proven stunt-driven format continue to generate reliable early momentum, even as some analysts note a modest decline from peak 2023–2024 openings that occasionally exceeded 40 million. Factors such as content familiarity, algorithmic distribution on YouTube, and competition for attention among younger viewers help explain the stabilized range. An upset above 30 million would likely require an unusually buzzy premise, high-profile collaboration, or viral social-media amplification in the hours after premiere, while a softer debut could occur if the topic fails to resonate with core audiences.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$110,620Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s recent uploads have consistently delivered 25–30 million views within the first 24 hours, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bracket. His channel’s massive subscriber base and proven stunt-driven format continue to generate reliable early momentum, even as some analysts note a modest decline from peak 2023–2024 openings that occasionally exceeded 40 million. Factors such as content familiarity, algorithmic distribution on YouTube, and competition for attention among younger viewers help explain the stabilized range. An upset above 30 million would likely require an unusually buzzy premise, high-profile collaboration, or viral social-media amplification in the hours after premiere, while a softer debut could occur if the topic fails to resonate with core audiences.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$110,620Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
MrBeast’s recent uploads have consistently delivered 25–30 million views within the first 24 hours, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bracket. His channel’s massive subscriber base and proven stunt-driven format continue to generate reliable early momentum, even as some analysts note a modest decline from peak 2023–2024 openings that occasionally exceeded 40 million. Factors such as content familiarity, algorithmic distribution on YouTube, and competition for attention among younger viewers help explain the stabilized range. An upset above 30 million would likely require an unusually buzzy premise, high-profile collaboration, or viral social-media amplification in the hours after premiere, while a softer debut could occur if the topic fails to resonate with core audiences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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