Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead over the SPD ahead of the 20 September Landtag election, with the AfD at 35-37 percent and the SPD at 28-32 percent after recent gains by the incumbents. The AfD's position as the strongest single party underpins trader consensus on its victory probability, reinforced by consistent trends since mid-2026 that have positioned it well ahead of the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties. Other parliamentary groups continue to rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation while increasing the chance it secures the largest seat share. SPD Minister President Manuela Schwesig retains strong personal approval, supporting her party's recent polling recovery and the residual probability assigned to an SPD-led outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 78%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,368 KL.
$710,368 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
78%
SPD
22%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 78%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,368 KL.
$710,368 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$190,811 KL.
78%
SPD
$160,620 KL.
22%
Linke
$27,668 KL.
<1%
FW
$115,965 KL.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 KL.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 KL.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 KL.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead over the SPD ahead of the 20 September Landtag election, with the AfD at 35-37 percent and the SPD at 28-32 percent after recent gains by the incumbents. The AfD's position as the strongest single party underpins trader consensus on its victory probability, reinforced by consistent trends since mid-2026 that have positioned it well ahead of the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties. Other parliamentary groups continue to rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation while increasing the chance it secures the largest seat share. SPD Minister President Manuela Schwesig retains strong personal approval, supporting her party's recent polling recovery and the residual probability assigned to an SPD-led outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$710,368Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead over the SPD ahead of the 20 September Landtag election, with the AfD at 35-37 percent and the SPD at 28-32 percent after recent gains by the incumbents. The AfD's position as the strongest single party underpins trader consensus on its victory probability, reinforced by consistent trends since mid-2026 that have positioned it well ahead of the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties. Other parliamentary groups continue to rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation while increasing the chance it secures the largest seat share. SPD Minister President Manuela Schwesig retains strong personal approval, supporting her party's recent polling recovery and the residual probability assigned to an SPD-led outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Khối lượng
$710,368Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead over the SPD ahead of the 20 September Landtag election, with the AfD at 35-37 percent and the SPD at 28-32 percent after recent gains by the incumbents. The AfD's position as the strongest single party underpins trader consensus on its victory probability, reinforced by consistent trends since mid-2026 that have positioned it well ahead of the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties. Other parliamentary groups continue to rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation while increasing the chance it secures the largest seat share. SPD Minister President Manuela Schwesig retains strong personal approval, supporting her party's recent polling recovery and the residual probability assigned to an SPD-led outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp