**SPD holds a strong lead in trader expectations for second place in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026 Landtag election.** Recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys place the party at 28–29 percent, consistently behind AfD (35–36 percent) but ahead of Die Linke (11–12 percent) and CDU (9–10 percent), with Grüne, BSW, and others trailing further. SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed AfD’s lead without altering the order, while CDU support has slipped. Traders assign SPD an 84 percent implied probability for second place, reflecting stable polling trends through early August and the absence of major campaign shifts that would reorder the parties. Lower probabilities for AfD, CDU, Linke, and Grüne align with their current third- or lower-place positioning and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSPD 84%
AfD 12.7%
CDU 2.7%
Linke 2.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
84%
AfD
13%
CDU
3%
Linke
3%
Grüne
2%
BSW
2%
FW
1%
FDP
1%
SPD 84%
AfD 12.7%
CDU 2.7%
Linke 2.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
$869 KL.
84%
AfD
$436 KL.
13%
CDU
$203 KL.
3%
Linke
$215 KL.
3%
Grüne
$207 KL.
2%
BSW
$170 KL.
2%
FW
$147 KL.
1%
FDP
$352 KL.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong lead in trader expectations for second place in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026 Landtag election.** Recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys place the party at 28–29 percent, consistently behind AfD (35–36 percent) but ahead of Die Linke (11–12 percent) and CDU (9–10 percent), with Grüne, BSW, and others trailing further. SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed AfD’s lead without altering the order, while CDU support has slipped. Traders assign SPD an 84 percent implied probability for second place, reflecting stable polling trends through early August and the absence of major campaign shifts that would reorder the parties. Lower probabilities for AfD, CDU, Linke, and Grüne align with their current third- or lower-place positioning and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,598Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong lead in trader expectations for second place in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026 Landtag election.** Recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys place the party at 28–29 percent, consistently behind AfD (35–36 percent) but ahead of Die Linke (11–12 percent) and CDU (9–10 percent), with Grüne, BSW, and others trailing further. SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed AfD’s lead without altering the order, while CDU support has slipped. Traders assign SPD an 84 percent implied probability for second place, reflecting stable polling trends through early August and the absence of major campaign shifts that would reorder the parties. Lower probabilities for AfD, CDU, Linke, and Grüne align with their current third- or lower-place positioning and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Khối lượng
$2,598Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**SPD holds a strong lead in trader expectations for second place in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026 Landtag election.** Recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys place the party at 28–29 percent, consistently behind AfD (35–36 percent) but ahead of Die Linke (11–12 percent) and CDU (9–10 percent), with Grüne, BSW, and others trailing further. SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed AfD’s lead without altering the order, while CDU support has slipped. Traders assign SPD an 84 percent implied probability for second place, reflecting stable polling trends through early August and the absence of major campaign shifts that would reorder the parties. Lower probabilities for AfD, CDU, Linke, and Grüne align with their current third- or lower-place positioning and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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