Recent Berlin polls place Die Linke at 18–22 percent, positioning the party near or atop the field ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election amid competition from the CDU, AfD, and Greens. Sustained gains since 2025, driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social policy under new co-leaders and top candidate Elif Eralp, support projections in the low-to-mid 20s of seats under proportional allocation and the five-percent threshold. Tight clustering across the 20–34 seat bins reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, turnout differentials, minor-party spillover, and AfD momentum that could fragment the left-leaning electorate. No single dominant coalition path has emerged, leaving seat totals sensitive to final-week shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật20-24 33%
25-29 30%
30-34 26%
35-39 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<20
6%
20-24
33%
25-29
30%
30-34
26%
35-39
17%
40+
7%
20-24 33%
25-29 30%
30-34 26%
35-39 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$119 KL.
6%
20-24
$0 KL.
33%
25-29
$0 KL.
30%
30-34
$0 KL.
26%
35-39
$38 KL.
17%
40+
$45 KL.
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin polls place Die Linke at 18–22 percent, positioning the party near or atop the field ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election amid competition from the CDU, AfD, and Greens. Sustained gains since 2025, driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social policy under new co-leaders and top candidate Elif Eralp, support projections in the low-to-mid 20s of seats under proportional allocation and the five-percent threshold. Tight clustering across the 20–34 seat bins reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, turnout differentials, minor-party spillover, and AfD momentum that could fragment the left-leaning electorate. No single dominant coalition path has emerged, leaving seat totals sensitive to final-week shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$202Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin polls place Die Linke at 18–22 percent, positioning the party near or atop the field ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election amid competition from the CDU, AfD, and Greens. Sustained gains since 2025, driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social policy under new co-leaders and top candidate Elif Eralp, support projections in the low-to-mid 20s of seats under proportional allocation and the five-percent threshold. Tight clustering across the 20–34 seat bins reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, turnout differentials, minor-party spillover, and AfD momentum that could fragment the left-leaning electorate. No single dominant coalition path has emerged, leaving seat totals sensitive to final-week shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Khối lượng
$202Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Berlin polls place Die Linke at 18–22 percent, positioning the party near or atop the field ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election amid competition from the CDU, AfD, and Greens. Sustained gains since 2025, driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social policy under new co-leaders and top candidate Elif Eralp, support projections in the low-to-mid 20s of seats under proportional allocation and the five-percent threshold. Tight clustering across the 20–34 seat bins reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, turnout differentials, minor-party spillover, and AfD momentum that could fragment the left-leaning electorate. No single dominant coalition path has emerged, leaving seat totals sensitive to final-week shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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