Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 7–10 seats, reflecting competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters within a fragmented right-leaning opposition. The party has added candidates such as former Likud MK Dan Illouz and emphasized cross-bloc opposition coordination to draw support from the governing coalition. Tight trader pricing between 8–9 and 10–11 seats stems from modest poll volatility, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and overlapping appeals from newer lists like Yashar and Together. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among immigrant communities, security developments, or alliance announcements could push results toward either the higher or lower end of the current range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8-9 45%
6-7 43%
10-11 30%
<6 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
28%
6-7
43%
8-9
45%
10-11
30%
12+
23%
8-9 45%
6-7 43%
10-11 30%
<6 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 KL.
28%
6-7
$0 KL.
43%
8-9
$0 KL.
45%
10-11
$0 KL.
30%
12+
$50 KL.
23%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 7–10 seats, reflecting competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters within a fragmented right-leaning opposition. The party has added candidates such as former Likud MK Dan Illouz and emphasized cross-bloc opposition coordination to draw support from the governing coalition. Tight trader pricing between 8–9 and 10–11 seats stems from modest poll volatility, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and overlapping appeals from newer lists like Yashar and Together. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among immigrant communities, security developments, or alliance announcements could push results toward either the higher or lower end of the current range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 7–10 seats, reflecting competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters within a fragmented right-leaning opposition. The party has added candidates such as former Likud MK Dan Illouz and emphasized cross-bloc opposition coordination to draw support from the governing coalition. Tight trader pricing between 8–9 and 10–11 seats stems from modest poll volatility, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and overlapping appeals from newer lists like Yashar and Together. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among immigrant communities, security developments, or alliance announcements could push results toward either the higher or lower end of the current range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 7–10 seats, reflecting competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters within a fragmented right-leaning opposition. The party has added candidates such as former Likud MK Dan Illouz and emphasized cross-bloc opposition coordination to draw support from the governing coalition. Tight trader pricing between 8–9 and 10–11 seats stems from modest poll volatility, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and overlapping appeals from newer lists like Yashar and Together. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among immigrant communities, security developments, or alliance announcements could push results toward either the higher or lower end of the current range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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