**Trader consensus centers on 78–81°F as the most probable overnight low for Miami on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs that consistently project minimal nocturnal cooling under typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, light winds, and moderate humidity suppress radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum close to the long-term August climatological average of 78°F. Recent model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature drops, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers further moderating extremes. Outcomes below 76°F would require atypical cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions not supported by current forecasts, while readings above 82°F remain possible only if cloud cover and moisture trap additional heat. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 3?
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$15 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$25 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$136 KL.
2%
74-75°F
$314 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$11 KL.
14%
78-79°F
$104 KL.
24%
80-81°F
$90 KL.
36%
82-83°F
$12 KL.
14%
84-85°F
$84 KL.
11%
86°F or higher
$192 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 78–81°F as the most probable overnight low for Miami on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs that consistently project minimal nocturnal cooling under typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, light winds, and moderate humidity suppress radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum close to the long-term August climatological average of 78°F. Recent model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature drops, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers further moderating extremes. Outcomes below 76°F would require atypical cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions not supported by current forecasts, while readings above 82°F remain possible only if cloud cover and moisture trap additional heat. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$984Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 78–81°F as the most probable overnight low for Miami on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs that consistently project minimal nocturnal cooling under typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, light winds, and moderate humidity suppress radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum close to the long-term August climatological average of 78°F. Recent model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature drops, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers further moderating extremes. Outcomes below 76°F would require atypical cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions not supported by current forecasts, while readings above 82°F remain possible only if cloud cover and moisture trap additional heat. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$984Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 78–81°F as the most probable overnight low for Miami on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs that consistently project minimal nocturnal cooling under typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, light winds, and moderate humidity suppress radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum close to the long-term August climatological average of 78°F. Recent model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature drops, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers further moderating extremes. Outcomes below 76°F would require atypical cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions not supported by current forecasts, while readings above 82°F remain possible only if cloud cover and moisture trap additional heat. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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