Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures near seasonal norms on September 13, with forecast models from multiple agencies indicating a minimum around 24–26 °C under high humidity and light variable winds. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 24 °C further constrain how low surface readings can fall. Historical September climatology shows average nighttime lows of 25–26 °C, providing a tight baseline that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 25 °C and 27 °C. Minor model differences in timing and coverage of convective activity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with any break in cloud cover or lighter rain potentially allowing a dip toward 25 °C or holding the low near 27 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 13?
19°C or below 92%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
24°C 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
92%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
52%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 92%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
24°C 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
92%
20°C
$75 KL.
2%
21°C
$75 KL.
2%
22°C
$79 KL.
4%
23°C
$72 KL.
18%
24°C
$0 KL.
46%
25°C
$5 KL.
47%
26°C
$0 KL.
52%
27°C
$42 KL.
50%
28°C
$0 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures near seasonal norms on September 13, with forecast models from multiple agencies indicating a minimum around 24–26 °C under high humidity and light variable winds. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 24 °C further constrain how low surface readings can fall. Historical September climatology shows average nighttime lows of 25–26 °C, providing a tight baseline that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 25 °C and 27 °C. Minor model differences in timing and coverage of convective activity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with any break in cloud cover or lighter rain potentially allowing a dip toward 25 °C or holding the low near 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$347Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures near seasonal norms on September 13, with forecast models from multiple agencies indicating a minimum around 24–26 °C under high humidity and light variable winds. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 24 °C further constrain how low surface readings can fall. Historical September climatology shows average nighttime lows of 25–26 °C, providing a tight baseline that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 25 °C and 27 °C. Minor model differences in timing and coverage of convective activity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with any break in cloud cover or lighter rain potentially allowing a dip toward 25 °C or holding the low near 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$347Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures near seasonal norms on September 13, with forecast models from multiple agencies indicating a minimum around 24–26 °C under high humidity and light variable winds. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 24 °C further constrain how low surface readings can fall. Historical September climatology shows average nighttime lows of 25–26 °C, providing a tight baseline that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 25 °C and 27 °C. Minor model differences in timing and coverage of convective activity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with any break in cloud cover or lighter rain potentially allowing a dip toward 25 °C or holding the low near 27 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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