Recent forecasts from sources aligned with GFS and regional models show Istanbul’s overnight low on September 16 centering near 17–18 °C under persistent northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 22–24 °C. This setup, typical for early autumn marine air influence, keeps the minimum well below seasonal norms without sharp cold advection. Trader positioning, with 23 °C or higher carrying the highest implied probability, likely incorporates residual model spread on cloud timing and local urban heat effects, alongside awareness that any late clearing could raise the floor. Updated guidance and observational trends through the evening of the 15th will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
23°C or higher 83%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
24%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
83%
23°C or higher 83%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$117 KL.
24%
14°C
$0 KL.
40%
15°C
$0 KL.
40%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$33 KL.
22%
18°C
$39 KL.
25%
19°C
$33 KL.
22%
20°C
$33 KL.
22%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources aligned with GFS and regional models show Istanbul’s overnight low on September 16 centering near 17–18 °C under persistent northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 22–24 °C. This setup, typical for early autumn marine air influence, keeps the minimum well below seasonal norms without sharp cold advection. Trader positioning, with 23 °C or higher carrying the highest implied probability, likely incorporates residual model spread on cloud timing and local urban heat effects, alongside awareness that any late clearing could raise the floor. Updated guidance and observational trends through the evening of the 15th will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$255Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources aligned with GFS and regional models show Istanbul’s overnight low on September 16 centering near 17–18 °C under persistent northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 22–24 °C. This setup, typical for early autumn marine air influence, keeps the minimum well below seasonal norms without sharp cold advection. Trader positioning, with 23 °C or higher carrying the highest implied probability, likely incorporates residual model spread on cloud timing and local urban heat effects, alongside awareness that any late clearing could raise the floor. Updated guidance and observational trends through the evening of the 15th will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$255Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources aligned with GFS and regional models show Istanbul’s overnight low on September 16 centering near 17–18 °C under persistent northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 22–24 °C. This setup, typical for early autumn marine air influence, keeps the minimum well below seasonal norms without sharp cold advection. Trader positioning, with 23 °C or higher carrying the highest implied probability, likely incorporates residual model spread on cloud timing and local urban heat effects, alongside awareness that any late clearing could raise the floor. Updated guidance and observational trends through the evening of the 15th will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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