**Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and Météo-France-aligned services indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, under mostly clear skies and southerly to southwesterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, pushing highs well above the long-term September average of roughly 22°C. Recent model consensus shows afternoon maxima near 31–33°C, with limited spread across ensembles and no signals for significant cooling or intensification. Traders have placed the highest implied probabilities on 32°C (55%) and 33°C (28.5%), reflecting alignment with current observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather features such as fronts or increased cloudiness that could alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
32°C 55%
33°C 29%
34°C 8%
31°C 6%
MỚI
$34,879 KL.
MỚI
$34,879 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
55%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 29%
34°C 8%
31°C 6%
MỚI
$34,879 KL.
MỚI
$34,879 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$2,174 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,472 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,736 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,306 KL.
<1%
30°C
$2,368 KL.
3%
31°C
$4,303 KL.
6%
32°C
$5,386 KL.
55%
33°C
$9,885 KL.
29%
34°C
$3,739 KL.
8%
35°C
$2,374 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$295 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and Météo-France-aligned services indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, under mostly clear skies and southerly to southwesterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, pushing highs well above the long-term September average of roughly 22°C. Recent model consensus shows afternoon maxima near 31–33°C, with limited spread across ensembles and no signals for significant cooling or intensification. Traders have placed the highest implied probabilities on 32°C (55%) and 33°C (28.5%), reflecting alignment with current observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather features such as fronts or increased cloudiness that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and Météo-France-aligned services indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, under mostly clear skies and southerly to southwesterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, pushing highs well above the long-term September average of roughly 22°C. Recent model consensus shows afternoon maxima near 31–33°C, with limited spread across ensembles and no signals for significant cooling or intensification. Traders have placed the highest implied probabilities on 32°C (55%) and 33°C (28.5%), reflecting alignment with current observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather features such as fronts or increased cloudiness that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$34,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and Météo-France-aligned services indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, under mostly clear skies and southerly to southwesterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, pushing highs well above the long-term September average of roughly 22°C. Recent model consensus shows afternoon maxima near 31–33°C, with limited spread across ensembles and no signals for significant cooling or intensification. Traders have placed the highest implied probabilities on 32°C (55%) and 33°C (28.5%), reflecting alignment with current observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather features such as fronts or increased cloudiness that could alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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