**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for that outcome.** This reflects direct instrumental data from the agency's primary stations, showing nighttime lows near 26°C amid sunny periods with isolated showers and light northwest winds, aligning with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 24.7°C but can vary with local steering patterns and humidity. Forecast models and real-time observations converged on this range without significant overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring sites, or resolution tied to a specific station threshold, though the consensus reading makes such shifts unlikely. Trader sentiment aggregates skin-in-the-game assessment of these verifiable observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
26°C 99.4%
20°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 KL.
$25,136 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.4%
20°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 KL.
$25,136 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$1,964 KL.
1%
21°C
$134 KL.
<1%
22°C
$558 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,569 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,615 KL.
<1%
25°C
$7,876 KL.
<1%
26°C
$4,574 KL.
99%
27°C
$2,962 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,691 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,034 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$160 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for that outcome.**
This reflects direct instrumental data from the agency's primary stations, showing nighttime lows near 26°C amid sunny periods with isolated showers and light northwest winds, aligning with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 24.7°C but can vary with local steering patterns and humidity. Forecast models and real-time observations converged on this range without significant overnight cooling.
Realistic challenges include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring sites, or resolution tied to a specific station threshold, though the consensus reading makes such shifts unlikely. Trader sentiment aggregates skin-in-the-game assessment of these verifiable observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,136Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for that outcome.**
This reflects direct instrumental data from the agency's primary stations, showing nighttime lows near 26°C amid sunny periods with isolated showers and light northwest winds, aligning with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 24.7°C but can vary with local steering patterns and humidity. Forecast models and real-time observations converged on this range without significant overnight cooling.
Realistic challenges include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring sites, or resolution tied to a specific station threshold, though the consensus reading makes such shifts unlikely. Trader sentiment aggregates skin-in-the-game assessment of these verifiable observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$25,136Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for that outcome.** This reflects direct instrumental data from the agency's primary stations, showing nighttime lows near 26°C amid sunny periods with isolated showers and light northwest winds, aligning with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 24.7°C but can vary with local steering patterns and humidity. Forecast models and real-time observations converged on this range without significant overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring sites, or resolution tied to a specific station threshold, though the consensus reading makes such shifts unlikely. Trader sentiment aggregates skin-in-the-game assessment of these verifiable observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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