Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
20°C or below 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$75 KL.
71%
21°C
$21 KL.
-
22°C
$22 KL.
10%
23°C
$22 KL.
10%
24°C
$116 KL.
-
25°C
$116 KL.
35%
26°C
$637 KL.
-
27°C
$35 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,035 KL.
<1%
29°C
$35 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$81 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,195Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,195Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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