Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall near 20–22°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light rain chances, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional atmospheric patterns, including modest northerly flow and high humidity near 80%, support this range while introducing variability in exact minimums depending on cloud persistence and timing of any showers. Historical September baselines show typical lows around 19°C, with current conditions aligning closely yet leaving room for modest deviations if clearing occurs earlier or precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, sustaining tight market-implied odds across the 17–25°C band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
26°C or higher 93%
16°C or below 83%
22°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
83%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 93%
16°C or below 83%
22°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
83%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall near 20–22°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light rain chances, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional atmospheric patterns, including modest northerly flow and high humidity near 80%, support this range while introducing variability in exact minimums depending on cloud persistence and timing of any showers. Historical September baselines show typical lows around 19°C, with current conditions aligning closely yet leaving room for modest deviations if clearing occurs earlier or precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, sustaining tight market-implied odds across the 17–25°C band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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