Official forecasts from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 29°C for September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and possible brief showers. This consensus, aligned with recent observations showing afternoon readings near 28–29°C, underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 29°C. Historical mid-September climatology in Shanghai supports highs around this level absent strong synoptic shifts. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 30°C or above, while heavier rain or increased cloud thickness might cap the peak below 29°C; however, current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
29°C 96%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$61,434 KL.
$61,434 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
96%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 96%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$61,434 KL.
$61,434 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$1,420 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,810 KL.
<1%
26°C
$4,328 KL.
<1%
27°C
$8,983 KL.
<1%
28°C
$17,473 KL.
<1%
29°C
$11,621 KL.
96%
30°C
$6,911 KL.
6%
31°C
$6,606 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,761 KL.
<1%
33°C
$389 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$133 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 29°C for September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and possible brief showers. This consensus, aligned with recent observations showing afternoon readings near 28–29°C, underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 29°C. Historical mid-September climatology in Shanghai supports highs around this level absent strong synoptic shifts. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 30°C or above, while heavier rain or increased cloud thickness might cap the peak below 29°C; however, current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,434Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 29°C for September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and possible brief showers. This consensus, aligned with recent observations showing afternoon readings near 28–29°C, underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 29°C. Historical mid-September climatology in Shanghai supports highs around this level absent strong synoptic shifts. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 30°C or above, while heavier rain or increased cloud thickness might cap the peak below 29°C; however, current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$61,434Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 29°C for September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and possible brief showers. This consensus, aligned with recent observations showing afternoon readings near 28–29°C, underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 29°C. Historical mid-September climatology in Shanghai supports highs around this level absent strong synoptic shifts. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 30°C or above, while heavier rain or increased cloud thickness might cap the peak below 29°C; however, current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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