Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Manila on September 18, reflecting recent observations of afternoon highs near 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon and typical September climatology of 31°C averages with high humidity. PAGASA guidance highlights cloudy skies and thunderstorm activity that can cap intense solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, yet light winds and residual warmth from prior days support brief peaks at or above 33°C before convection develops. Stronger or earlier storm initiation, thicker cloud decks, or enhanced rainfall could realistically hold the maximum to 31–32°C, while clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor the market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 18?
33°C 95%
34°C 4%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$34,334 KL.
$34,334 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
95%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 95%
34°C 4%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$34,334 KL.
$34,334 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$674 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,315 KL.
<1%
30°C
$3,439 KL.
<1%
31°C
$7,356 KL.
<1%
32°C
$5,218 KL.
<1%
33°C
$9,975 KL.
95%
34°C
$2,629 KL.
4%
35°C
$2,021 KL.
1%
36°C
$1,253 KL.
1%
37°C
$199 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$255 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Manila on September 18, reflecting recent observations of afternoon highs near 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon and typical September climatology of 31°C averages with high humidity. PAGASA guidance highlights cloudy skies and thunderstorm activity that can cap intense solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, yet light winds and residual warmth from prior days support brief peaks at or above 33°C before convection develops. Stronger or earlier storm initiation, thicker cloud decks, or enhanced rainfall could realistically hold the maximum to 31–32°C, while clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor the market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,334Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Manila on September 18, reflecting recent observations of afternoon highs near 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon and typical September climatology of 31°C averages with high humidity. PAGASA guidance highlights cloudy skies and thunderstorm activity that can cap intense solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, yet light winds and residual warmth from prior days support brief peaks at or above 33°C before convection develops. Stronger or earlier storm initiation, thicker cloud decks, or enhanced rainfall could realistically hold the maximum to 31–32°C, while clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor the market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$34,334Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Manila on September 18, reflecting recent observations of afternoon highs near 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon and typical September climatology of 31°C averages with high humidity. PAGASA guidance highlights cloudy skies and thunderstorm activity that can cap intense solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, yet light winds and residual warmth from prior days support brief peaks at or above 33°C before convection develops. Stronger or earlier storm initiation, thicker cloud decks, or enhanced rainfall could realistically hold the maximum to 31–32°C, while clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor the market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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