Idaho's longstanding Republican electoral dominance and incumbent Governor Brad Little's comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote have anchored trader consensus around a Republican win at 94.8 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Little leading Democratic nominee Terri Pickens by 20-plus points in a solidly red state where GOP candidates routinely secure wide margins. Little's renomination and established record on state priorities reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Only major late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or sharp national political realignments could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIdaho Governor Election Winner
Idaho Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
2%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$4,679 KL.
95%
Democrat
$3,571 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's longstanding Republican electoral dominance and incumbent Governor Brad Little's comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote have anchored trader consensus around a Republican win at 94.8 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Little leading Democratic nominee Terri Pickens by 20-plus points in a solidly red state where GOP candidates routinely secure wide margins. Little's renomination and established record on state priorities reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Only major late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or sharp national political realignments could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,250Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's longstanding Republican electoral dominance and incumbent Governor Brad Little's comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote have anchored trader consensus around a Republican win at 94.8 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Little leading Democratic nominee Terri Pickens by 20-plus points in a solidly red state where GOP candidates routinely secure wide margins. Little's renomination and established record on state priorities reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Only major late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or sharp national political realignments could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$8,250Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's longstanding Republican electoral dominance and incumbent Governor Brad Little's comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote have anchored trader consensus around a Republican win at 94.8 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Little leading Democratic nominee Terri Pickens by 20-plus points in a solidly red state where GOP candidates routinely secure wide margins. Little's renomination and established record on state priorities reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Only major late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or sharp national political realignments could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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