**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light variable winds and low precipitation chances.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and agency-aligned outlooks, project highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September averages hover around 29°C. Current daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s°C without signs of rapid intensification or suppression from fronts or cloud cover changes. This positioning reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus, with the 97% implied probability on 30°C capturing the narrow range where official station maxima are expected to resolve. The outcome remains sensitive to final verified observations from authoritative monitoring networks, as even modest forecast adjustments or micro-scale variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 13?
30°C 99.5%
32°C or higher <1%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 99.5%
32°C or higher <1%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light variable winds and low precipitation chances.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and agency-aligned outlooks, project highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September averages hover around 29°C. Current daytime readings have climbed into the upper 20s°C without signs of rapid intensification or suppression from fronts or cloud cover changes. This positioning reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus, with the 97% implied probability on 30°C capturing the narrow range where official station maxima are expected to resolve. The outcome remains sensitive to final verified observations from authoritative monitoring networks, as even modest forecast adjustments or micro-scale variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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