Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$56,187 KL.
$56,187 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$56,187 KL.
$56,187 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$250 KL.
<1%
11°C
$403 KL.
<1%
12°C
$324 KL.
<1%
13°C
$1,458 KL.
<1%
14°C
$11,621 KL.
<1%
15°C
$13,663 KL.
100%
16°C
$17,969 KL.
<1%
17°C
$5,762 KL.
<1%
18°C
$4,358 KL.
<1%
19°C
$177 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$231 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,187Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$56,187Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp