Trader sentiment favoring 32°C (46.5%) or 33°C (37.5%) for Singapore's September 19 maximum stems from tight ensemble spread in regional numerical weather prediction models, which show daily highs near the long-term September average of 31–33°C amid typical equatorial conditions. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud development and sea-breeze circulation that can limit peak temperatures by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies or stronger subsidence allowing brief spikes. With the inter-monsoon period featuring high humidity and urban heat-island effects, small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear determine whether the mercury reaches 33°C at official stations. New model runs and Singapore Meteorological Service updates expected overnight will likely narrow the implied probability gap before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on September 19?
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 11%
34°C 7.5%
$19,817 KL.
$19,817 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
47%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 11%
34°C 7.5%
$19,817 KL.
$19,817 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
47%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favoring 32°C (46.5%) or 33°C (37.5%) for Singapore's September 19 maximum stems from tight ensemble spread in regional numerical weather prediction models, which show daily highs near the long-term September average of 31–33°C amid typical equatorial conditions. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud development and sea-breeze circulation that can limit peak temperatures by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies or stronger subsidence allowing brief spikes. With the inter-monsoon period featuring high humidity and urban heat-island effects, small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear determine whether the mercury reaches 33°C at official stations. New model runs and Singapore Meteorological Service updates expected overnight will likely narrow the implied probability gap before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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